← SkillSafe / Posterior Desk

The sampler finished. That is not the same as the posterior being real.

Paste what the run gave you back — the settings, the warning block, the model as you wrote it — and the az.summary() table beside it. Before you sign in, this page does the arithmetic: it multiplies your chains by your draws and divides your divergences into that, checks every R-hat and every effective sample size against the published thresholds rather than the folklore ones, works out how many digits of each posterior mean survive the Monte Carlo error, counts the elements your array declarations imply and compares them against the rows your table actually carries, and finds the places where your prose and your numbers disagree. Then three lanes work the fit.

Both examples ship with a saved model run for every lane, so you can see all three outputs end to end without signing in and without spending a credit.

nothing pasted yet
Labelled lines, prose, or both. Drag a file in, or Read in your browser. Nothing uploads until you run a lane.
no summary table
Paste az.summary() straight out of Python — the default to_string() layout with its blank corner, to_csv(), markdown pipes, TSV, or Stan's n_eff/Rhat columns. Or drag a file in: Columns read: mean, sd, an hdi_NN% or quantile pair, mcse_mean, mcse_sd, ess_bulk, ess_tail, r_hat.
Paste a fit report to price the run.